From our origins as a small Wall Street partnership to becoming a global firm of more than 80,000 employees today, Morgan Stanley has been committed to clients and communities for 87 years. David Estrada oversees Nuro's policy, legal, communications, and safety teams. A monthly publication featuring the Global Multi-Asset Teams latest views on the economic and market environment and how best to position portfolios. But now Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas has come up with another ingenious 2-by-2 chart so much en vogue with international strategy consultants which highlights the core transformative forces at work. Derivative instrumentsmay disproportionately increase losses and have a significant impact on performance. Counterpoint Globals culture fosters collaboration, creativity, continued development, and differentiated thinking. These include: low utilization (on average, cars are used 4% of a day, with an available seat-mile utilization of barely 1%); consumption of finite resources (cars consume 500 billion gallons of fuel a year, accounting for 45% of global oil demand); and public safety (roughly 3,500 traffic fatalities per day globally). Indeed, Many of the full benefits of a shared, electric, and autonomous ecosystem may take decades to fully play out, he says, but industry developments and investor appreciation of the technological path can have a material impact on share prices of select companies even over a three-year horizon.. Heres a look at nine industries that will experience both disruption and opportunity: The rollout of shared/autonomous/electric transport could resemble the spread of the early electric utility grid in the 1880s and 1890s, which grew city-by-city, Jonas says. Our culture of access and inclusion has built our legacy and shapes our future, helping to strengthen our business and bring value to clients. See how you can continue your career journey at Morgan Stanley. We help people, businesses and institutions build, preserve and manage wealth so they can pursue their financial goals. Check the background of our firm and registered representatives on FINRA's BrokerCheck. "Whenever I'm hearing about a big deal going down, I'm usually trying to get a hold of Regina to see what she's heard," he said. Traditional financial institutions try harnessing the blockchain to streamline operations and costs, while improving services and products for clients. Stay abreast of the latest trends and developments. Along the way, plenty of other sectors will be figuring out how they can come along for the ride. While CEOs and founders get most of the attention in the startup world, even the best leaders need a strong team behind them. It involves creating two autonomous systems one using only cameras, the other radar and lidar that can operate safely on their own, then bringing the two systems together. Zoox has taken a difficult and unusual approach compared to its peers: While most of its rivals are focusing on automated-driving software or hardware, Zoox is designing and assembling an autonomous vehicle, all without the help of a major automaker. In China, for example, private car ownership is a symbol of status and wealth, says Jack Yeung, who covers Chinas auto and auto-parts industry. "We expect a potential announcement of proof of reality in a North American metropolitan area as early as 2016.". Discover who we are and the right opportunity for you. Mohamed Elshenawy has led Cruise's software team through a period of rapid growth as the company works toward launching robotaxi services in San Francisco and Dubai. Flying cars could initially gain market share from cars on the road, planes and public transportation. For European banks, financial inclusion is not only socially responsibleit may help drive sustained economic growth in emerging markets. Autonomous vehicles use a suite of sensors, actuators and a central computer to perceive the environment and automate the driving process, thereby enabling the vehicles to drive themselves without human involvement. Your Privacy Choices Morgan Stanley: Autonomous Cars May Save US a Trillion Dollars Home Transportation [INFOGRAPHIC] Autonomous Cars Could Save The US $1.3 Trillion Dollars A Year Benjamin Zhang Sep 12,. This is a nascent market, and there will be many different ways to pay for BEV charging in the coming years.. Subscriptions At Morgan Stanley, we put our beliefs to work. The views and opinions are those of the author as of the date of publication and are subject to change at any time due to market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. It is difficult to predict the timing, duration, and potential adverse effects (e.g. Such a future of shared, fully electric, driverless cars on demand is closer to reality than it might appear. Across all our businesses, we offer keen insight on today's most critical issues. To identify the unheralded stars, we surveyed analysts, venture capitalists, industry experts, and autonomous-vehicle companies to nominate essential employees who aren't CEOs. Morgan Stanley has developed a framework to assess the appeal of shared, autonomous and electric vehicles in particular countries and regions. We provide comprehensive workplace financial solutions for organizations and their employees, combining personalized advice with modern technology. We have global expertise in market analysis and in advisory and capital-raising services for corporations, institutions and governments. Before joining Aurora, in 2019, she was Lyft's director of business development and strategy, where she focused on automated-driving technology. The U.S. car parc consumes around 1,200 terawatt hours of equivalent electrical energy each year. Most of the battery cell costs are driven by the price of materials and composition, Hendrikse says. "Vehicle sharing can only take your vehicle utilization to about 50%-60% of its full potential, in our view," says Jonas. Learn from our industry leaders about how to manage your wealth and help meet your personal financial goals. A more bullish forecast places the market at $2.9 trillion. 4 min read. 5 Sustainable Investing Trends for Companies and Investors, 7 Investment Ideas That Could Drive Markets in 2023, Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley, hours people spend annually driving and riding in cars, India, a country with growing Internet access. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all investment personnel at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and its subsidiaries and affiliates (collectively the Firm), and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers. Around half of the component cost of the battery cell is in the cathode. Whereas the per-mile operating costs of shared vehicles today far outweigh those of privately owned vehicles, autonomous cars unburdened by driver-cost could achieve a shared cost per mile below that of owned vehicles by as early as 2030, according to Morgan Stanley. It may have taken professional auto industry analysts some time to understand the impact of autonomous vehicles. Counterpoint Global investigates the impact of quantum computers and its potential to tackle previously unsolvable computing problems. Get the latest insights, analyses and market trends in our newsletter, podcasts and videos. Motional is one of two companies that operate autonomous ride-hailing vehicles that are open to the public. We see the development of the urban air mobility ecosystem as extremely long-dated, with up-front capital allocation, testing, and development in the short term, says Jonas. From volatility and geopolitics to economic trends and investment outlooks, stay informed on the key developments shaping today's markets. There is no assurance that a Portfolio will achieve its investment objective. Already, a few large automakers who dont have electric-powered models have announced plans to introduce their own BEV lines. We provide comprehensive workplace financial solutions for organizations and their employees, combining personalized advice with modern technology. During Estrada's tenure, Nuro became the first autonomous-vehicle company to receive an exemption from select federal safety standards. The second augments human capabilitiesfor example, collaborating with a physician to diagnose diseases or even perform surgery. Prior to 2026, Morgan Stanley predicts our cars will be able to be driven autonomously, but the driver will need to remain attentive in the case of an emergency, as the infrastructure for autonomous cars will not be fully developed. A timely analysis of market-changing events and their impact on the investment landscape. Information does not address financial objectives, situation or specific needs of individual investors. Morgan Stanley's U.S. Research teams worked together to identify 30 companies that they believe are favorably exposed to growth opportunities in a world moving toward shared mobility, autonomous driving, and electrification. Privacy & Cookies Morgan Stanley estimates that in 2030, cars will drive more than 19.6 billion miles worldwide, far higher than the 10.2 billion they traveled in 2015. A monthly outlook for global fixed income markets, including an in-depth review of key sectors. Counterpoint Global consists of 56 people, including 32 investors, four disruptive change researchers, two consilient researchers and two sustainability researchers. In a new BluePaper from Morgan Stanley Research, a cross-section of the firms equity analysts detail how investment in autonomous flying aircraft is accelerating, with implications for the future of passenger travel, military and defense applications, and freight and package transportation. The views expressed do not reflect the opinions of all investment personnel at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and its subsidiaries and affiliates (collectively the Firm), and may not be reflected in all the strategies and products that the Firm offers. Counterpoint Global investigates the impact of quantum computers and its potential to tackle previously unsolvable computing problems. Plus, moreIdeas. Motional A joint venture between Aptiv and. Hear their stories and learn about how they are redefining the terms of success. Before joining Nuro, Estrada helped develop early autonomous-vehicle regulations at Google. The firm looks at about 100 startups a month, and Meruva is usually the first person to meet with them. At Morgan Stanley, giving back is a core valuea central part of our culture globally. Shared and automated transport addresses significant inefficiencies in the current industry model. In fact, it doesn't even have a steering wheel, or pedals, or a gas tank. Morgan Stanley has valued Tesla's autonomous vehicle ride-sharing business, which does not yet exist, at $17.7 billion, about one-tenth of Waymo's value, yet still above GM Cruise, the . The first can perform tasks independently without human intervention, such as the operation of autonomous vehicles, personal assistants and drones. Aerospace & defense majors have been making investments, startups are attracting capital, and megatech platforms are actively involved. Urban air mobility represents business opportunities within infrastructure, fleet management, software, hardware and content, much like the opportunity for autonomous vehicles," Jonas says. Wide adoption of BEVs will also expand the need for an entire new level of electrical and electronic systems that dont exist in internal combustion vehicles. Illiquid securitiesmay be more difficult to sell and value than public traded securities (liquidity risk). See how we can help you work toward your goalseven as they evolve over years or generations. Investments inforeign marketsentail special risks such as currency, political, economic, market and liquidity risks. A timely analysis of market-changing events and their impact on the investment landscape. Plus, more Ideas. It is not addressed to any other person and may not be used by them for any purpose whatsoever. Everything we do at Morgan Stanley is guided by our five core values: Do the right thing, put clients first, lead with exceptional ideas, commit to diversity and inclusion, and give back. At Morgan Stanley, giving back is a core valuea central part of our culture globally. Morgan Stanley's analyst team thinks the answer could be yes. These considerations, coupled with large amounts of capital infusion, should accelerate the adoption of autonomous, electrified urban air mobility. Puneeth Meruva is the firm's "first filter" in deciding which companies to invest in, Trucks general partner Reilly Brennan told Insider. Privately placed and restricted securitiesmay be subject to resale restrictions as well as a lack of publicly available information, which will increase their illiquidity and could adversely affect the ability to value and sell them (liquidity risk). Counterpoint Global discusses the evolution of enterprise drones and its disruptive impact. $TSLA pic.twitter.com/P4wD5TtDUH From our origins as a small Wall Street partnership to becoming a global firm of more than 80,000 employees today, Morgan Stanley has been committed to clients and communities for 87 years. In 2022, Ford plans to launch a delivery service with self-driving vehicles powered by Argo's tech. An early member of Zoox, Ashu Rege leads the company's software team. These are 11 of the autonomous-vehicle industry's power players. 5 Sustainable Investing Trends for Companies and Investors, 7 Investment Ideas That Could Drive Markets in 2023, Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley, one billion battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Hannah Miao @hannahmiao_. Under that scenario, by mid-century BEVswould comprise as much as 90% of all vehicle sales. Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty explained the profit potential for Apple in a research note she issued in January. We live that commitment through long-lasting partnerships, community-based delivery and engaging our best assetMorgan Stanley employees. Stay abreast of the latest trends and developments. Autonomous vehicles could change not only the way we move from point A to point B, but also how we live our lives. Would you like to help us improve our coverage of topics that might interest you? Brett Browning leads the development of Argo AI's automated-driving technology. We have global expertise in market analysis and in advisory and capital-raising services for corporations, institutions and governments. However, OEMS and suppliers which provide superior technology (hardware, software, integrated experiential design) or quality and scale for key features (fuel efficiency, safety, lightweight materials, etc.) Drones and VTOLs could be part of the evolving solution of last-mile parcel delivery challenges, says Ravi Shanker, equity analyst covering the North American transportation industry. We believe our greatest asset is our people. We believe our greatest asset is our people. One of the Morgan Stanley's report clearly estimates that replacing traditional automobiles with autonomous cars in the United States alone could contribute . Autonomous vehicles could change not only the way we move from point A to point B, but also how we live our lives. That pace of growth is much higher than the estimated production of cars and light vehicles during the same period. We lead with exceptional ideas, prioritize diversity and inclusion and find meaningful ways to give backall to contribute to a future that benefits our clients and communities. Long-term trends, including technology's impact on pricing, are likely to keep inflation at bay for longer than economists originally expected. Information does not address financial objectives, situation or specific needs of individual investors. Everything we do at Morgan Stanley is guided by our five core values: Do the right thing, put clients first, lead with exceptional ideas, commit to diversity and inclusion, and give back. Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanleys Head of Global Auto & Shared Mobility Research, says A confluence of competitive, technological and regulatory forces have pulled-forward auto makers plans to aggressively introduce EVs over the next 3 to 5 years vs. 20 to 25 years previously. However, the Morgan Stanley team doesn't believe technology will be an ultimate limiting factor. The semiconductor industry has benefited for decades from the digitalization of vehicles and driving in general, but autonomous cars represent a sophisticated blend of computer power and artificial intelligence for navigating the countless number of real-world driving scenariosin real time. The path from here involves many hundreds of billions of dollars of capital investment across the sector stack including autos, commodities, cap goods and the supporting infrastructure.. In a research report, Morgan Stanley predicted that widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles would contribute $1.3 trillion to the U.S. economy through cost savings from reduced fuel. Automated driving technology relies heavily on continuous, high-precision, and high-reliability positioning in complex urban situations. It is not addressed to any other person and may not be used by them for any purpose whatsoever. In recent months, Motional has taken the backup drivers out of some of its test vehicles and, in 2023, the company plans to expand its relationship with Lyft by launching a fully autonomous ride-hailing service. Yet, its worth considering: Passengers in autonomous vehicles wont just be consuming media, entertainment and next-gen broadband connectivitythey will likely also be eating and drinking, without having to worry about safety. We have global expertise in market analysis and in advisory and capital-raising services for corporations, institutions and governments. Companies are scrambling to figure out last-mile delivery, sometimes even incentivizing the customer to pick up from the store. Add the hundreds of billions of hours people spend annually driving and riding in cars instead of engaging in other, potentially more productive (or stimulating) activity, and automotive transportation as practical utility and time-consuming necessity seems ripe for a redesigned consumer experience and relationship. Underpinning all that we do are five core values. We have the experience and agility to partner with clients from individual investors to global CEOs. natural disasters, health crises, terrorism, conflicts and social unrest) that affect markets, countries, companies or governments. Counterpoint Global discusses psychedelics as medicine and its disruptive impact. The global presence that Morgan Stanley maintains is key to our clients' success, giving us keen insight across regions and markets, and allowing us to make a difference around the world. Privately placed and restricted securitiesmay be subject to resale restrictions as well as a lack of publicly available information, which will increase their illiquidity and could adversely affect the ability to value and sell them (liquidity risk). To what degree these factors will impede or accelerate market change varies by country and region. Meet one of our Financial Advisors and see how we can help you. portfolio liquidity) of events. Accordingly, you can lose money investing in this Portfolio. As expected, addressing safety will be at the top of regulators' lists. Legacy suppliers for seats, wheels, tires and safety mechanisms should make the transition somewhat seamlessly, but powertrain, transmission and fuel systems manufacturers who have built business models around internal combustion will likely face headwinds as BEV adoption increases. Cathode manufacturers are gearing up for substantial increases in production but could face associated pressure on their pricing levels. Before joining Morgan Stanley, Savage worked on mergers and acquisitions in the media industry at Goldman Sachs. It expresses no views as to the suitability of the investments described herein to the individual circumstances of any recipient or otherwise. 2023Morgan Stanley. Se lf-Driving the New Auto Industry Pa r-adigm; November 2013. The widespread commercialization of autonomous vehicles, also called self-driving cars, relies heavily on the expansion of wireless communications capacity, according to research by Morgan. Andy Piper has led the development of Zoox's eponymous vehicle, which the company unveiled in 2020. Reducing the cost, decreasing noise and creating aircraft that essentially levitatenot takeoff via a runawayare also key considerations. There is no assurance that a Portfolio will achieve its investment objective. Morgan Stanley Blue Papers, a product of our Research Division, involve collaboration from analysts, economists and strategists across the globe and address long-term, structural business changes that are reshaping the fundamentals of entire economies and industries around the globe. We value our commitment to diverse perspectives and a culture of inclusion across the firm. Slow dealmaking. That's around a billion tons of TNTthe energy equivalent of some 60 thousand WWII-era atomic bombs. His contributions have been essential in helping Zoox develop its automated-driving system, Shahin Farshchi, a partner at the venture capital firm Lux Capital, a former Zoox investor, told Insider. We offer timely, integrated analysis of companies, sectors, markets and economies, helping clients with their most critical decisions. Member FINRA/SIPC. A transition to electric vehicles could be equal to one-third of total U.S. We rely on our technologists around the world to create leading-edge, secure platforms for all our businesses. However, the picture isnt entirely rosy for suppliers. We leverage the full resources of our firm to help individuals, families and institutions reach their financial goals. This material is for the benefit of persons whom the Firm reasonably believes it is permitted to communicate to and should not be forwarded to any other person without the consent of the Firm. Derivative instrumentsmay disproportionately increase losses and have a significant impact on performance. Apple's potential autonomous car is called the ultimate EV bear case by Morgan Stanley Nov. 19, 2021 7:50 AM ET Apple Inc. (AAPL) , TSLA , APTV , BWA GM , AN , CAR , RACE , CVNA , QS , FSR , LCID . After all, 600 billion hours is a lot of time to spend in vehicles that you arent driving. Counterpoint Global discusses the evolution of enterprise drones and its disruptive impact. This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, is for informational and educational purposes only, not a recommendation to purchase or sell specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy. Any performance quoted represents past performance. Several possibilities exist around the development of public stations, ranging from those sponsored by automakers and available only to drivers of their vehicles, to those financed and maintained by governments or utilities, or perhaps another model. Elshenawy has helped Cruise engineers quickly test and deploy code while overseeing a cloud-computing infrastructure that held up well as the company shifted to a remote-work model in 2020, a Cruise representative said. Yeung notes that the Chinese government has invested heavily in public transportation. In other words, the skys the limit. Our monthly Global Equity Observer shares our thoughts on world events as seen through the lens of our high quality investment process. In Europe, extensive public transportation options and the political strength of auto and parts manufacturers are obstacles to shared vehicle adoption, but electric vehicles bode well for the region's strengthening emissions standards. Morgan Stanleys U.S.Researchteams worked together to identify 30 companies that they believe are favorably exposed to growth opportunities in a world moving toward shared mobility, autonomous driving, and electrification. Morgan Stanley is differentiated by the caliber of our diverse team. Further, it could be much easier for new competitors to enter the market since a greater portion of vehicle parts could be outsourced. Not only is technology speeding in that direction, but, according to Morgan Stanleys recent Blue Paper report, "Global Investment Implications of Auto 2.0," the global auto market is ripe for major disruption. From volatility and geopolitics to economic trends and investment outlooks, stay informed on the key developments shaping today's markets. portfolio liquidity) of events. Regina Savage, global head of automotive and mobility technology, Morgan Stanley Regina Savage The autonomous-vehicle industry has been a hot sector for investment banks in recent years,. Shared carstaxis and cars operated by ride-sharing companies, but not car rentalin 2015 accounted for 4% of global miles traveled, but by 2030, Morgan Stanley estimates that number could reach 26%. In logistics, drone package delivery is in active testing. As a global financial services firm, Morgan Stanley is committed to technological innovation. We lead with exceptional ideas, prioritize diversity and inclusion and find meaningful ways to give backall to contribute to a future that benefits our clients and communities. Privacy & Cookies Global institutions, leading hedge funds and industry innovators turn to Morgan Stanley for sales, trading and market-making services. Our culture of access and inclusion has built our legacy and shapes our future, helping to strengthen our business and bring value to clients. 2023Morgan Stanley. Currently, they control much of the value of the car by designing and producing the major structures, powertrain, major systems and, of course, branding and distribution. Let's start with Morgan Stanley. In general,equities securitiesvalues also fluctuate in response to activities specific to a company. Our firm's commitment to sustainability informs our operations, governance, risk management, diversity efforts, philanthropy and research. May 1 (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley is planning to eliminate about 3,000 jobs in the second quarter, a source told Reuters on Monday, in its second round of job cuts in six months. Hardware makers could soon embed chips in their devices that replace SIM cards, a small change with significant implications for the mobile value chain. They also may be subject to counterparty, liquidity, valuation, correlation and market risks. Military drones have been around for years, and electrified, autonomous vertical takeoff and landing vehicles (VTOLs) are gaining traction. We have global expertise in market analysis and in advisory and capital-raising services for corporations, institutions and governments. Under Estrada, Nuro has also become the first company to test driverless vehicles in three states, a Nuro spokesperson told Insider. That number. For 87 years, weve had a passion for whats possible. For more Morgan Stanley Researchon shared, autonomous and electric vehicles, ask your Morgan Stanley representative or Financial Advisor for the full Blue Paper report, Global Investment Implications of Auto 2.0" (April 16, 2016). Learn from our industry leaders about how to manage your wealth and help meet your personal financial goals. A career at Morgan Stanley means belonging to an ideas-driven culture that embraces new perspectives to solve complex problems. Sign up to get Morgan Stanley Ideas delivered to your inbox. At Morgan Stanley, we focus the expertise of the entire firmour advice, data, strategies and insightson creating solutions for our clients, large and small. We value our commitment to diverse perspectives and a culture of inclusion across the firm. Morgan Stanley's Wilson Says Hawkish Fed Surprise to Roil Stocks. Macro and thematic insights shaping the global investment landscape. See how you can make meaningful contributions as a student or recent graduate at Morgan Stanley. In 1940, automaker Henry Ford said, "Mark my words: a combination airplane and motorcar is coming." The coming of autonomous vehicles could change our conception of personal transportation. Morgan Stanley leadership is dedicated to conducting first-class business in a first-class way. Over 90% of all traffic accidents are caused by human error.1 With 40,000 U.S. traffic fatalities and 1.2 million globally every year,2 removing humans from the driving equation could significantly reduce accidentspotentially benefiting both vehicle-related injury and mortality while reducing health care spending and the potential revenue opportunity for property and casualty insurance. Our monthly Global Equity Observer shares our thoughts on world events as seen through the lens of our high quality investment process. Counterpoint Globals culture fosters collaboration, creativity, continued development, and differentiated thinking. Global institutions, leading hedge funds and industry innovators turn to Morgan Stanley for sales, trading and market-making services. But what are the business implications for manufacturers as the world flips the switch from combustion to battery? For 87 years, weve had a passion for whats possible. We deliver active investment strategies across public and private markets and custom solutions to institutional and individual investors. This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, is for informational and educational purposes only, not a recommendation to purchase or sell specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy. Counterpoint Global consists of 56 people, including 32 investors, four disruptive change researchers, two consilient researchers and two sustainability researchers. We help people, businesses and institutions build, preserve and manage wealth so they can pursue their financial goals. For decades, the health of the automotive industry has been measured by the number of vehicles sold. BEIJING, China, May 01, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Li Auto Inc. ("Li Auto" or the "Company") (Nasdaq: LI; HKEX: 2015), a leader in China's new . Limitations remain, primarily related to batteries and propulsion technology.
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